http://docs.google.com/View?id=d5z8q8w_1205gxt3rxp3
The market is in a very bullish made right now. As we can see on the SPY chart, RSI confirms the recent breakout over resistance, as it makes new highs along with the index. The volume patterns shows there's some real velocity behind this move, as price is being pushed by some real volume. It's not supercharged, but steadily increasing.
The market is overbought, so entry is not optimal until we get a pullback to support. At that level, one could enter SPY or SSO for extra leverage.
If by chance the market continues to ramp up, we can take another stab at the oversold bounce or rubber band trade. If SPY bounces close to $100, I'll look to take a quick short trade with a tight stop.
Trade Tracker:
I was stopped out of the X trade on Friday.
Focus List:
A few specific short setups with triggers:
Some stocks are showing extreme overbought conditions and setup as "rubber band" short setups on a bounce.
AAPL is stretched about as much as it has been over the past year. Notice that it is piercing the bollinger band and showing extreme overbought conidtions. It's not just oversold, it's extremely oversold. If it bounces again tomorrow ($162-165), I'll look to get short. Only on bounce, which would make a pullback almost inevitable.
SRS is an inverse ETF. While it is a bearish trade, we have to look at it as if we are going long. As with AAPL, it is at extreme levels, but I'd like it to get more extreme. A dip tomorrow to around $16-$16.25 and I will enter.
AMZN is a "failed breakout" trade. The stock broke out of major resistance with a huge price bar and major volume, only to breakdown the following day in equally powerful fashion. I will look to short on strength tomorrow. Stop should be around $91. Low risk, high reward.
Long watchlist
Remember that the market is overbought so I'd like to wait a few days for most long entries. Here is my watchlist:
breakout-pullback candidates: SBUX, NFX, POOL, TXI, ALB, ISRG, CELG
Hot stocks showing accumulation (many commodities): BHP, PCU, NOV, RIG, FCX, ACI, GRMN, RL
Hot sector: Solars are looking really good in terms of price and accumulation. They can turn on a dime and are volatile, but I'd like to take a position on pullback of one of the following: SOLF, SOL, CSIQ or FSLR.
The market is overbought, so entry is not optimal until we get a pullback to support. At that level, one could enter SPY or SSO for extra leverage.
If by chance the market continues to ramp up, we can take another stab at the oversold bounce or rubber band trade. If SPY bounces close to $100, I'll look to take a quick short trade with a tight stop.
Trade Tracker:
I was stopped out of the X trade on Friday.
Focus List:
A few specific short setups with triggers:
Some stocks are showing extreme overbought conditions and setup as "rubber band" short setups on a bounce.
AAPL is stretched about as much as it has been over the past year. Notice that it is piercing the bollinger band and showing extreme overbought conidtions. It's not just oversold, it's extremely oversold. If it bounces again tomorrow ($162-165), I'll look to get short. Only on bounce, which would make a pullback almost inevitable.
SRS is an inverse ETF. While it is a bearish trade, we have to look at it as if we are going long. As with AAPL, it is at extreme levels, but I'd like it to get more extreme. A dip tomorrow to around $16-$16.25 and I will enter.
AMZN is a "failed breakout" trade. The stock broke out of major resistance with a huge price bar and major volume, only to breakdown the following day in equally powerful fashion. I will look to short on strength tomorrow. Stop should be around $91. Low risk, high reward.
Long watchlist
Remember that the market is overbought so I'd like to wait a few days for most long entries. Here is my watchlist:
breakout-pullback candidates: SBUX, NFX, POOL, TXI, ALB, ISRG, CELG
Hot stocks showing accumulation (many commodities): BHP, PCU, NOV, RIG, FCX, ACI, GRMN, RL
Hot sector: Solars are looking really good in terms of price and accumulation. They can turn on a dime and are volatile, but I'd like to take a position on pullback of one of the following: SOLF, SOL, CSIQ or FSLR.
Disclaimer: All information and opinions expressed in this report are to be used for entertainment purposes only. The author of this report is not an investment adviser and does not give buy, sell or hold recommendations. Trading stocks is a risky undertaking, and due diligence is required before making a trade. Consult an investment professional before making a trade. The information in this report is not verified and may be incorrect. The author of this report may or may not hold a position in stocks mentioned in this report.
No comments:
Post a Comment