Showing posts with label channel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label channel. Show all posts

Monday, April 09, 2007

Deja Vu

EWO, an Austrian ETF, is looking eerily similar to the way it looked at this time last year.

The stock had broke out of a base in late '05, pulled back to the breakout point, and made a move in early '06 that measured 6 points from breakout. A negative RSI divergence formed and the stock took a nose dive over the summer.

The stock recovered at support in late '06, forming the same pattern we saw last year: A breakout in late '06 accompanied by a pullback to support, followed by a parabolic 6 point rise. We even have the the same RSI divergence.

Here's another doozy. Just as last time, we are around 3 points away from the 50 day moving average.

I will likely enter a short position if we see more strength in EWO. However, I will not trade the stock in the short term account I use for this blog. Shorter term, we still could see some upside. Any entry will be a position trade (I have a separate account for my intermediate term position trades) which I may hold for a few months, with a wider stop and target.